Publications/CV

Publications

Kochkov, D., Yuval, J., Langmore, I., Norgaard, P., Smith, J., Mooers, G., Klöwer, M., Lottes, J., Rasp, S., Düben, P., Hatfield, S., Battaglia, P., Sanchez-Gonzalez, A., Willson, M., Brenner, M.P. & Hoyer, S., 2024. Neural general circulation models for weather and climate. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07744-y

Rasp, S., Hoyer, S., Merose, A., Langmore, I., Battaglia, P., Russell, T., Sanchez‐Gonzalez, A., Yang, V., Carver, R., Agrawal, S., Chantry, M., Ben Bouallegue, Z., Dueben, P., Bromberg, C., Sisk, J., Barrington, L., Bell, A. and Sha, F., 2024. WeatherBench 2: A benchmark for the next generation of data‐driven global weather models. Journal of Advances in Earth System Modeling. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS004019

Beucler, T., Pritchard, P., Yuva, J., Gupta, A., Peng, L., Rasp, S., Ahmed, F., O’Gorman, P., Neelin, D., Lutsko, N. and Gentine, P., 2021. Climate-Invariant Machine Learning. Science Advances. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj7250.

Blanusa, M., Lopez-Zurita, C. and Rasp, S., 2022. Internal variability plays a dominant role in global climate projections of temperature and precipitation extremes. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06664-3, ArXiv

Robertson, A., et al., 2022. Outcomes of the WMO Prize Challenge to Improve Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Predictions Using Artificial Intelligence. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0046.1

Price, I. and Rasp, S., 2022. Increasing the accuracy and resolution of precipitation forecasts using deep generative models. AISTATS 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.12297.

Garg, S., Rasp, S. and Thuerey, N., 2022. WeatherBench Probability: A benchmark dataset for probabilistic medium-range weather forecasting along with deep learning baseline models. Preprint

Kriegmair, R., Ruckstuhl, Y., Rasp, S., Craig, G., 2021. Using neural networks to improve simulations in the gray zone. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-2021-20

Beucler, T. Ebert-Uphoff, I., Rasp, S., Pritchard M. and Gentine, P., 2021. Machine Learning for Clouds and Climate (Invited Chapter for the AGU monograph Clouds and Climate). Preprint

Ruckstuhl, Y., Janjic, T., and Rasp, S., 2021. Training a convolutional neural network to conserve mass in data assimilation. Nonlin. Processes Geophys, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-111-2021

Beucler, T., Pritchard, M., Rasp, S., Ott, J., Baldi, P. and Gentine, P., 2021. Enforcing Analytic Constraints in Neural-Networks Emulating Physical Systems. Physical Review Letters, accepted. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.098302

Rasp, S. and Thuerey N., 2020. Data-driven medium-range weather prediction with a Resnet pretrained on climate simulations: A new model for WeatherBench. Journal of Advances in Earth System Modeling. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002405

Seifert, A. and Rasp, S., 2020. Potential and Limitations of Machine Learning for Modeling Warm‐Rain Cloud Microphysical Processes. Journal of Advances in Earth System Modeling. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002301

Rasp, S., Dueben, P. Scher, S., Weyn, J., Mouatadid, S., Thuerey, N., 2020. WeatherBench: A benchmark dataset for data-driven weather forecasting. Journal of Advances in Earth System Modeling. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002203

Rasp, S., Schulz, H., Bony, S. and Stevens, B., 2020. Combining crowd-sourcing and deep learning to explore the meso-scale organization of shallow convection. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0324.1

Rasp, S., 2020. Coupled online learning as a way to tackle instabilities and biases in neural network parameterizations: general algorithms and Lorenz 96 case study (v1. 0). Geoscientific Model Development. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2185-2020

Zeng Y., Janjić T., de Lozar A., Rasp S., Blahak U., Seifert A., Craig G., 2020. Comparison of methods accounting for subgrid-scale model error in convective-scale data assimilation. Monthly Weather Review. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0064.1

Hirt, M., Rasp, S., Blahak, U. and Craig, G., 2019. Stochastic parameterization of processes leading to convection initiation in kilometre-scale models. Monthly Weather Review. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0060.1

Keil, C., Baur, F., Bachmann, K., Rasp, S., Schneider, L. and Barthlott, C., 2019. Relative contribution of soil moisture, boundary layer and microphysical perturbations on convective predictability in different weather regimes Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3607

Rasp, S. and Lerch, S., 2018. Neural networks for post-processing ensemble weather forecasts. Monthly Weather Review. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0187.1

Rasp, S., Pritchard, M. and Gentine, P., 2018. Deep learning to represent sub-grid processes in climate models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1810286115

Gentine, P., Pritchard, M., Rasp, S., Reinaudi, G. and Yacalis, G., 2018. Could machine learning break the convection parameterization deadlock? Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078202

Rasp, S., Selz, T. and Craig, G.C., 2018. Variability and clustering of mid-latitude summertime convection: Testing the Craig and Cohen (2006) theory in a convection-permitting ensemble with stochastic boundary layer perturbations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0258.1.

Rasp, S., Selz, T. and Craig, G.C., 2016. Convective and Slantwise Trajectory Ascent in Convection-Permitting Simulations of Midlatitude Cyclones. Monthly Weather Review. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0112.1

Italics denote people I supervised.


Talks and conference presentations

Invited talks

ISDA Online, January 2024. The second revolution in numerical weather prediction. Video

AI for Good, November 2023. WeatherBench 2 and the second revolution of weather prediction. Video

Joint IS-ENES3/ESiWACE2 Virtual Workshop on New Opportunities for ML and AI in Weather and Climate Modelling, Online, March 2021
The optimization dichotomy: Why is it so hard to improve climate models with machine learning?

Scaling Cascades in Complex Systems, Online, March 2021
The optimization dichotomy: Why is it so hard to improve climate models with machine learning?

CWI SEMINAR FOR MACHINE LEARNING AND UQ IN SCIENTIFIC COMPUTING, Online, February 2021
Hybrid machine learning-physics climate modeling: Challenges and potential solutions, Slides

One World Mathematics of Climate, Online, February 2021
The optimization dichotomy: Why is it so hard to improve climate models with machine learning?, Video

AI for Earth Sciences Workshop, NeurIPS, Online, December 2020
Keynote: Why Benchmarks are Crucial for Progress in AI and How to Design Good Ones for Earth Science, Video

Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Modelling, Oxford, UK, September 2019
Improving Models with Machine Learning Parameterizations: Status Quo vs. Real Progress Slides

Convection parameterization: Progress and challenges, Exeter, UK, July 2019
Machine Learning: Building parameterizations and understanding clouds Slides

Workshop on Data Science and Machine Learning, AGU Fall Meeting, Washington DC, USA, December 2018
Opportunities and challenges for machine learning parameterizations

Columbia University, New York, USA, December 2018
Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models

Harvard University - ClimaTea, Cambridge, MA, USA, December 2018
Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA, December 2018
Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models

Computer vision seminar, TU Munich, Munich, Germany, August 2018
Deep learning in weather and climate science

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, July 2018
Machine learning to represent atmospheric sub-grid processes

Conferences

American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Online, December 2020
Data-driven Medium-range Weather Prediction Achieves Comparable Skill to Dynamical Models. But What Does It Mean?, Virtual Poster

Understanding Clouds and Precipitation, Berlin, Germany, February 2019 Sugar, Flower, Fish or Gravel - Cloud classification from humans to machines, Talk

American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington DC, USA, December 2018
Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models, Poster

Conference on Predictability and Multi-Scale Prediction of High Impact Weather, Landshut, Germany, October 2017
Variability and clustering of mid-latitude summertime convection, Talk

Future of Cumulus Parameterization Workshop, Delft, Netherlands, July 2017
Variability of Mid-Latitude Summertime Convection, Poster

COSMO/CLM/ART User Seminar, DWD Offenbach, Germany, March 2017
COSMO-KENDA experiments with a stochastic boundary layer perturbation scheme, Talk

DACH, Berlin, Germany, March 2016
Der Einfluss eines physikalischen, stochastischen Störungenschemas auf das Störungswachstum in einem konvektiv-skaligen Modell, Talk

COSMO/CLM/ART User Seminar, DWD Offenbach, Germany, March 2016
Stochastic boundary layer perturbations: Systematic impact and perturbation growth, Poster

PANDOWAE Final Symposium, Karlsruhe, Germany, May 2015
High-resolution trajectory analysis of vertical motions in different weather situations, Poster

Workshops

Waves 2 Weather Early Career Scientists, Online, October 2020
Three-day workshop on machine learning and AI Link

Waves 2 Weather Early Career Scientists, Zugspitze, Germany, September 2018
Three-day workshop on machine learning and neural networks in Python Link

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, July 2018
One-day workshop on neural networks in Python

Earth System Science department, UC Irvine, April/May 2018
Workshops on machine learning in Python, Jupyter notebooks and the xarray package


Experience/Education

2022 - now
Senior Research Scientist, Google Research
Munich, Germany

2022 - 2022
Lead Data Scientist, ClimateAi
Remote

2020 - 2021
Senior Data Scientist, ClimateAi
Remote

2019 - 2020
Postdoc, TU Munich
Group: Physics-based deep learning, Prof. Nils Thuerey
Topic: Figuring out how machine learning can actually improve weather and climate prediction

Jul - Aug 2019
Visiting Researcher, Vulcan, Inc., Seattle Group: Climate modeling group led by Prof. Chris Bretherton

Feb - May 2018
Visiting Researcher, UC Irvine
Advisor: Prof. Mike Pritchard
Topic: Improving climate model physics with neural networks.

2015 - 2019
PhD in Meteorology, LMU Munich
Project A6 of the DFG Collaborative Research Project Waves to Weather
Advisor: Prof. George C. Craig
Topic: Representing forecast uncertainty using stochastic physical prarameterizations

2012 - 2015
Master of Science in Meteorology, LMU Munich
Thesis supervisors: Prof. George C. Craig, Dr. Tobias Selz
Thesis topic: High-Resolution Trajectory Analysis of Vertical Motions in Different Weather Situations

2009 - 2012
Bachelor of Science in Physical Geography, University of Hull, UK
Thesis supervisors: Dr. Stuart McLelland
Thesis topic: The Effects of Relative Submergence on the Hydrodynamics of an Open Vegetated Channel